Hills, M. (2015) Upstream operations: resilience to malign intent – ‘Analogical reasoning’ for new options to detect and engage. Invited Presentation presented to: Upstream Effects: Capacity Building, Stabilisation and Counter-Terrorism (Land Intelligence Fusion Centre, British Army and Oxford University), Merton College, University of Oxford, 08-09 December 2015. (Unpublished)
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Abstract:
Ukraine’s territorial sovereignty was subverted and borders likely irrevocably re-written by Russia’s invasion and annexation of Crimea in 2014. Against this unhappy backdrop, and with activities ongoing in other areas of Ukraine as well as the global rise of the ‘self-affiliating franchise’ model of terrorist group expansion – the hope for early and effective upstream interventions by liberal democracies to avoid costly future downstream commitments has seemingly become a good deal more difficult.
This paper seeks to present some concepts that might help shape practical strategies and tactics for upstream operations – by looking at analogies of, for example combating or making more difficult the ‘quiet’ invasions exploiting benign start conditions such as were present in Crimea (cf. Racz 2015). I will sketch some early ideas on making environments less benign for such hybrid or ‘full spectrum conflict’ warfare (Jonsson & Seeley 2015).
Additional Information:
Part of University of Oxford’s Changing Character of War (CCW) Programme. The event was recorded and this lecture will be available as a PodCast and DVD in the near future
Subjects:
Creators:
Hills, M.
Faculties, Divisions and Institutes:
University Faculties, Divisions and Research Centres - OLD > Faculty of Business & Law > Business
University Faculties, Divisions and Research Centres - OLD > Research Centre > Institute for Logistics, Infrastructure, Supply, Travel and Transport
Research Institutes > Institute of Logistics, Infrastructure, Supply & Transport
Faculties > Faculty of Business & Law > International Strategy & Business
University Faculties, Divisions and Research Centres - OLD > Research Centre > Institute for Logistics, Infrastructure, Supply, Travel and Transport
Research Institutes > Institute of Logistics, Infrastructure, Supply & Transport
Faculties > Faculty of Business & Law > International Strategy & Business
Date:
9 December 2015
Date Type:
Presentation
Event Title:
Upstream Effects: Capacity Building, Stabilisation and Counter-Terrorism (Land Intelligence Fusion Centre, British Army and Oxford University)
Event Dates:
08-09 December 2015
Event Location:
Merton College, University of Oxford
Event Type:
Conference
Language:
English
Status:
Unpublished
Refereed:
No
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